Expanding the Efficient Frontier: The Role of Alternatives in Modern Portfolios

Written by
Kelsey Syvrud, PhD
Written by
Kelsey Syvrud, PhD
Published on
December 11, 2024
Category
Investment Insights

Expanding the Efficient Frontier: The Role of Alternatives in Modern Portfolios

In recent years, Alternative Investments (Alts) have undergone a transformation, experiencing rapid growth and becoming accessible to a broader range of investors. Once dominated by institutional capital, Alts are now entering the portfolios of affluent individuals and even retail investors, thanks to regulatory innovations like interval funds and other 40-Act structures. This democratization has expanded the pool of investors able to participate, breaking down barriers that previously excluded smaller players.

Alternative investments encompass a wide array of assets beyond traditional equities and bonds, including private equity (PE), private credit, hedge funds, real estate, infrastructure, and tangible assets like art and collectibles. These assets often exhibit lower correlations to traditional markets, providing potential buffers during periods of volatility or market downturns.

For high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) and institutional investors, Alts offer compelling opportunities aligned with specific wealth objectives, such as income generation, tax efficiency, and long-term capital growth. The trade-off is these opportunities often introduce another set of challenges, particularly those related to illiquidity, higher fees, and varying degrees of transparency. Notably, Alts often display a wider dispersion between the best and worst performing funds when compared to traditional asset classes, underscoring the importance of careful selection and due diligence.

The Growth Trajectory of Alternative Investments

Over the past two decades, the alternative investment market has experienced significant growth, evolving into a core component of diversified portfolios. This expansion has been driven by the demand for differentiated returns, low correlations with traditional markets, and innovative product structures that broaden the set of available opportunities for investors.

Historical Perspective

Historically, Alts were predominantly utilized by large institutions such as pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds (SWFs). These sophisticated investors sought alternatives to complement traditional equity and bond holdings, leveraging private equity, private credit, hedge funds, and real assets to meet long-term objectives. University endowments like those of Harvard and Yale have allocated significant portions of their portfolios to alternatives, capitalizing on higher potential returns due to a natural alignment of long-term time horizons and the ability to handle illiquidity.

In 2003, the global alternatives market stood at approximately $3 trillion in assets under management (AUM). By 2021, that figure had grown to $13 trillion, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 10%. This growth trajectory demonstrates how Alts have transitioned from niche investments to fundamental components of modern portfolios.

Future Projections

The Alts market is poised for continued expansion, with total global AUM expected to reach $23 trillion by 2026 and more than $25 trillion by 2028. Alts are anticipated to represent 18–24% of the global investible market by 2025. Institutional investors, including foundations and family offices, continue to drive the majority of alternatives AUM growth, with allocation targets now reaching as high as 50%, compared to less than 10% just a few decades ago.

Innovations in financial products are democratizing access to alternatives. Interval funds and tender offers, for example, are designed for HNWIs and accredited investors, offering exposure to private markets with lower minimums and greater flexibility. Although the current share of these investors’ wealth allocated to Alts is relatively low, it is expected to increase over the coming years.

Market conditions and technological advancements are also supporting the Alts trend. Persistent inflation and volatile equity markets are encouraging investors to explore alternative strategies, such as real estate and infrastructure, for inflation protection and consistent income. Additionally, new tools like tokenization (i.e., digitizing assets for tradability) are making traditionally illiquid assets more accessible and transparent, potentially accelerating adoption. A 2023 survey conducted by CAIS and Mercer found that 85% of financial advisors expected to increase allocations to one or more alternative asset classes during 2024.

Why Add Alternatives to a Portfolio?

The data suggests a clear trend of advisor and investor interest in Alts, but why? As the investment landscape evolves, portfolios constructed solely with traditional stocks and bonds may no longer deliver the diversification or returns needed to meet long-term goals. Alternative investments offer unique benefits that can complement traditional assets, providing opportunities to reduce risk, enhance returns, and navigate a complex market environment. Much of their increased popularity can be summarized by their ability to expand the efficient frontier of a portfolio, as defined by Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT).

Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and the Efficient Frontier

Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), developed by Nobel Prize laureate Harry Markowitz, asserts that investors can construct optimal portfolios by balancing risk and return. A key concept within MPT is the efficient frontier, which represents the set of portfolios that achieve the highest expected return for a given level of risk (or the lowest risk for a given expected return). Adding alternative investments to a portfolio can expand this frontier, improving risk-adjusted returns.

Many Alts, such as hedge funds and real assets, exhibit low or even negative correlations with traditional assets like equities and bonds. This diversification across assets with lower correlations reduces portfolio volatility. For example, during equity market selloffs, infrastructure assets or private credit may remain stable, reducing overall portfolio drawdowns.

Additionally, alternative strategies often aim to capture inefficiencies in private markets, with the goal of achieving higher potential returns compared to traditional investments. This return premium helps to push the efficient frontier outward. In fact, private equity’s historical outperformance relative to public equity indices has been a key driver of institutional adoption.

Alts can also perform well across various economic conditions. For instance, private equity tends to perform well during growth cycles, while real estate and infrastructure may offer stability and income during inflationary periods. Adding hedge fund exposure can provide downside protection during recessions. By blending these assets with traditional investments, portfolios become more resilient to market fluctuations.

Diversification and Other Benefits of Alternative Investments

Diversification is one of the strongest arguments for incorporating Alts into a portfolio. This characteristic allows alternatives to act as a stabilizing force, helping to cushion portfolios during periods of heightened volatility or economic downturns. For instance, during the 2008 financial crisis, many hedge funds and private equity strategies were able to outperform public equities, providing investors with a layer of downside protection. Fast forward to 2022—while both equities and bonds suffered losses, private credit and real estate stood out as pockets of strength, delivering positive returns when diversification was most needed.

Beyond diversification, alternative investments are increasingly recognized for their ability to generate attractive returns while mitigating volatility. Strategies such as private equity and private credit, for example, have consistently outpaced traditional investments in periods of uncertainty. Data shows that private credit has delivered average yields of more than 8%, compared to the 2-3% returns typically offered by government bonds. Of course, these higher returns come with additional risks, such as illiquidity and credit risk.

Another compelling reason to consider alternatives is their potential to hedge against inflation. Certain asset classes within alternatives—such as real estate, infrastructure, and commodities—may be well-suited for this purpose. For example, real estate leases frequently include inflation-adjusted rent escalators, while infrastructure investments like toll roads and pipelines generate revenues that naturally rise with inflation. In an environment where inflationary pressures persist, these characteristics may make alternatives an appealing addition to a portfolio.

Portfolio Integration

While alternative investments present unique advantages, integrating them into a portfolio requires careful consideration and thoughtful planning. Done correctly, alternatives can expand the efficient frontier, enhancing potential returns while reducing overall volatility. For investors seeking to build more resilient portfolios, alternatives can provide a unique edge in achieving their goals.

Industry research suggests that alternatives should typically make up 10-30% of a diversified portfolio, depending on an investor’s risk tolerance, liquidity needs, and time horizon. For high-net-worth individuals with long investment horizons, an allocation closer to 30% may be appropriate. In contrast, more conservative investors might limit their exposure to 10-15% of their total portfolio. These allocation levels should reflect the unique needs and circumstances of each investor, particularly when balancing the illiquidity inherent in many alternative strategies.

Additionally, a goals-based framework can be incorporated to tailor an Alts strategy to the individual circumstances of investors. Private equity and venture capital may be used for growth goals, while private credit and real estate are utilized for income-oriented goals. Investors worried about inflation protection may consider infrastructure and commodities. However, diversification doesn’t stop at simply incorporating alternatives into a portfolio—it’s equally important to allocate across multiple strategies and geographies within the space to further reduce risk.

Ultimately, a well-integrated portfolio that blends alternatives with traditional assets can offer investors adaptability and resilience in an ever-changing market environment. Thoughtful portfolio construction, combined with a clear understanding of the opportunities and risks inherent in alternatives, can help investors achieve their long-term financial goals while reducing the uncertainty that comes with market cycles.

Emerging Product Structures in Alternative Investments

The alternative investment landscape is not only growing—it’s evolving. Just a few decades ago, alternative investments were largely the exclusive domain of institutional investors. Today, however, shifts in market dynamics and investor trends are reshaping the industry, creating new opportunities for a broader spectrum of investors. These developments are fueling what many are calling the democratization of alternatives—a movement that is making these strategies more accessible than ever before.

The Democratization of Alternatives

Historically, participation in alternative investments was restricted to qualified purchasers—investors with significant financial resources (e.g., a net worth exceeding $5 million for individuals). For decades, this exclusivity created high barriers to entry, effectively locking out smaller, yet capable, investors. However, innovation in financial products and regulatory frameworks has opened the door to accredited investors, who now have a growing menu of options to participate in alternative markets.

Accredited investors—those with a net worth exceeding $1 million (excluding their primary residence) or annual incomes above $200,000—can now access alternatives through investment products regulated under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (40-Act Funds). These include interval funds, tender offer funds, and other structures designed to expand access while addressing some of the traditional challenges of alternative investments, such as illiquidity and high minimum investments. Many of these products also offer significantly lower investment minimums—sometimes as low as $5,000 or $10,000—compared to the $250,000 to $1 million thresholds often required by traditional private funds.

This democratization has made alternatives more appealing to HNWIs who are looking to diversify their portfolios without fully committing to the illiquidity or complexities of institutional-grade alternatives.

Interval and Tender Offer Funds

Innovative fund structures such as interval funds and tender offer funds are leading the charge in expanding access to alternative investments. These funds allow broader participation by addressing traditional challenges like illiquidity & complexity within the asset class.

Interval funds are closed-end funds that offer investors the ability to redeem shares at specified intervals, typically quarterly. Interval funds offer lower minimum investments, making them accessible to a wider audience, including accredited investors who might not meet the high thresholds required by traditional private funds.

Although interval funds provide more liquidity than traditional alternatives, redemption requests may not always be fully met due to pre-set redemption caps. Understanding redemption terms, fees, and fund strategies is highly important and investors should still consider allocations to interval funds as part of their illiquidity budget.

Like interval funds, tender offer funds are closed-end vehicles, but differ in how liquidity is offered. Investors must submit requests to redeem shares during specific tender periods, with approval subject to the fund manager. This makes them slightly less predictable than the automatic liquidity windows of interval funds and therefore less investor friendly.

Tender offer funds also provide access to highly specialized or niche investment strategies such as private equity, private credit, or real estate, which may not be as readily available in interval funds. These funds still cater to longer-term investment horizons but offer a middle ground for investors who want exposure to potentially higher-return opportunities without completely sacrificing liquidity.

On the private credit side, Business Development Companies (BDCs) are another product structure gaining traction among income-focused investors. BDCs are designed to provide debt capital to middle-market companies—businesses that are too small to access traditional capital markets but too large for conventional small-business loans. Many BDCs trade on public exchanges, offering greater liquidity than private credit funds while still providing exposure to the private credit market, which has historically outperformed public fixed income. With yields often exceeding 7%, BDCs are becoming increasingly popular for income-seeking investors. However, BDCs frequently use high leverage to enhance returns, which can amplify losses during periods of rising defaults or economic stress.

The emergence of interval funds, tender offer funds, and BDCs represents a significant step forward in the evolution of alternative investments. These vehicles are bridging the gap between institutional exclusivity and retail accessibility, enabling more investors to participate in the benefits of alternatives. However, with increased access comes the need for greater discernment. Investors must carefully evaluate product structures, liquidity terms, and fund managers to ensure alignment with their broader portfolio goals. By doing so, they can confidently take full advantage of the opportunities presented by this rapidly evolving asset class.

The Importance of Manager Due Diligence

As the alternative investment landscape continues to expand, the quality of fund managers has become a central determinant of success. Unlike traditional investments in public markets—where transparency, regulatory oversight, and liquidity are standard—alternatives operate in more opaque and illiquid environments. These unique characteristics make manager selection one of the most critical aspects of alternative investing, particularly as the market becomes increasingly diverse and complex.

Why Manager Selection Matters

While public markets offer standardized reporting and relative uniformity, alternative investments are far less consistent. Fund managers can vary widely in terms of strategy execution, operational expertise, and risk management. This variability often leads to significantly different outcomes, even among funds operating within the same sector.

The structural complexity of alternative strategies further amplifies the need for strong managerial oversight. Many alternative strategies rely on leverage to enhance returns, but poor risk management can magnify losses. For instance, hedge funds that employ a long/short equity strategy must balance identifying mispriced securities while managing the risks associated with short positions. One only has to look at the Meme Stock days of GameStop to see how quickly a short position gone wrong can bring financial disaster.

Beyond investment performance, operational missteps—such as lapses in compliance, insufficient reporting, or weak internal controls—can harm returns and investor confidence. Regulatory issues or inefficiencies in fund administration can significantly erode portfolio value. Additionally, Alts like private equity or private credit often require long-term commitments (5–10 years), and poor manager selection can lock investors into underperforming strategies for extended periods.

In short, the selection of a fund manager is critically important to navigating the complexities and risks of alternative investments. Without rigorous due diligence, investors may face suboptimal returns or unnecessarily heightened risks, particularly in unstable or volatile market environments.

Risks Amplified by Today’s Economic Climate

The current macroeconomic environment has introduced new challenges for alternative investments, further emphasizing the importance of manager quality.

The Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle, which began in 2022, has significantly increased interest rates, leading to higher borrowing costs across the economy. Although the Fed has begun to cut rates, they remain elevated compared to the historical average Post-Great Financial Crisis (GFC), which has far-reaching implications for Alts.

For companies reliant on private credit, the increased cost of borrowing can potentially lead to higher default rates. Funds that use leverage to enhance returns also face margin compression as financing becomes more expensive. Likewise, higher mortgage and financing costs have slowed real estate transactions, and commercial real estate, particularly office space, is under additional pressure as occupancy rates decline in a post-pandemic work environment.

While inflation has moderated, it remains above historical norms, and there are still concerns about an inflation creep over the next few years. This creates both opportunities and challenges for Alts. On the positive side, real assets like real estate, infrastructure, and commodities often benefit from inflation-adjusted pricing mechanisms. Real estate leases frequently include inflation-linked rent escalators, and infrastructure assets generate revenues that tend to rise with inflation. Conversely, rising costs tend to compress margins in businesses that lack pricing power, complicating underwriting and valuation models.

Geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and shifting central bank policies have contributed to heightened volatility across both public and private markets. High-growth sectors like technology and healthcare—traditionally favored by private equity and venture capital—are facing valuation pressures, leading to slower fundraising and reduced deal activity.

Additionally, the inherently illiquid nature of Alts becomes even more pronounced during periods of economic stress. For example, traditional drawdown funds typically have 7–10-year lock-up periods, making it difficult for investors to pivot or access capital when they need it most. And while newer structures—like tender offers and interval funds—offer more liquidity, they still have limitations. Redemption windows may be capped and access to funds is not guaranteed during periods of high redemption demand, which often occur in stressed markets.

The growing complexity and diversity of alternatives make manager due diligence an essential foundation for successful investing. In today’s uncertain economic environment, selecting the right manager can mean the difference between success and failure. Manager quality is not just important—it’s indispensable. For investors, working with skilled advisors and conducting rigorous due diligence helps to ensure that alternative investments align with their broader portfolio goals.

Conclusion: Alternatives as a Cornerstone of Modern Portfolios

Alternative investments have cemented their place as a cornerstone of modern portfolio strategies. Once limited to institutional investors, these asset classes have grown to become vital tools for private wealth investors seeking diversification, enhanced risk-adjusted returns, inflation protection, and income generation. In today’s financial landscape, alternatives are increasingly seen not as optional, but as essential for building resilient and adaptive portfolios.

The rapid evolution of Alts, with its array of strategies, structures, and risks, demands an even more deliberate and informed approach to investing. Successful integration into a portfolio requires a disciplined process rooted in thoughtful planning, rigorous due diligence, and strategic portfolio construction.

Advisors and investors must carefully balance the unique benefits and challenges associated with alternatives. These include managing illiquidity, navigating fee structures, and understanding how specific strategies align with long-term financial goals. With the right guidance, alternatives can expand the efficient frontier of a portfolio, simultaneously enhancing returns and reducing risk.

Disclaimer

The information in this report was prepared by Fire Capital Management. Any views, ideas or forecasts expressed in this report are solely the opinion of Fire Capital Management, unless specifically stated otherwise. The information, data, and statements of fact as of the date of this report are for general purposes only and are believed to be accurate from reliable sources, but no representation or guarantee is made as to their completeness or accuracy. Market conditions can change very quickly. Fire Capital Management reserves the right to alter opinions and/or forecasts as of the date of this report without notice.

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Kelsey Syvrud, PhD

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